Friday 17 April 2020

A Winding up note for the 21 day #Covid19 Lock down series

A Winding up note for the 21 day #Covid19 Lock down series


Some friends asked that I do a winding up note for the 21-day Covid19 Lock down series of blogs...so here it is...

It all started with the Indian PM appearing on TV at 8 pm on 24th March 2020 and declaring a 21 day lock down to secure India from a Covid19 disaster. The virus, whose global presence we knew from the media, since December 2019, had already wrecked havoc on lives in most continents and India was on the brim of a possible breakout! I couldn't sleep that night. One could see what this portends. One could understand that a crisis like this was neither a beginning, nor an end. It was going to be a big, stark, loud picture of what the future holds for humanity and life on Earth. My work as an environmentalist and an engineer driven by some worry about nature, people and logic, made me commit, as if by some force of thought, that I will write one blog piece a day for 21 days. At that time, I never realised that it would fatigue me out!

There were two more reasons why I decided to write the series. One, was to force myself out of an inertia, to do something I always wanted to, and enjoyed doing. The inertia was real, as there was so many things distracting me, wasting me, and that included my indulgence with the social media as well. I am on facebook, twitter, instagram, whatsapp, telegram, gmail - 3 accounts and so on. Agreed, I was "normal." But I had to get out of it. It did not mean I drop and recluse; it meant I disrupt this normal. 

The other reason was more of the intellect. I was getting this very painful, overflowing feeling with various bits and pieces of analysis of the crisis that Earth, Life and humanity and it's activities were going through. The inaction of all of us to help tackle the crisis of the Earth and life, from the individual to the most powerful people on earth was getting on the nerves of a number of us. This virus pandemic opened a flood of thinking of the future. The worst to me is still the one that has not come - whether it be a climate impact or a more sinister virus attack. 

A number of us have been talking to each other on this, for decades, even as we continued to do whatever possible to build the change. But we kept talking to each other. This set of writings, is hence an outcome of a collective thinking, years of work and writings of many wonderful people, a few of which I have known and read, and some I have learnt through others. The words are mine, the knowledge is evolutionary.  Infact, through the 21 days, I have had hours over the phone with thinkers and doers like Prof P Vijayakumar ( also my teacher and mentor), Devinder Sharma, an expert on food and agriculture economy, S Usha, a close colleague and environmentalist, Rajesh krishnan, an organic farmer and activist, to name the most frequent of them. Then there were these friend-in-arms, classmates, batch mates, young friends, new-found friends, and they were many who contributed, some without even knowing they were doing so. I am indebted to all of them. Two resilient people at home - my wife and son - left me alone, and fed me contently. I didn't miss anything on that front. 

Then the big challenge was - who is going to read my blog? I shared it in facebook. But I also, shamelessly, posted it in almost every group I was in, and to everybody who were in my immediate whatsapp contacts. I asked them to share it, if they like it. This ran to a few hundreds. I literally became a virus, attempting to contaminate everybody in contact with me! The more immune may not even have opened the link. The less immune, many who knew me well, opened, read and some of them, sent me some good words.  Many of them also did a virus; they spread it to others as well. The encouragement I got was also infectious. 

I am glad it's been relatively well appreciated. For those who haven't read this, I now request that you read from Day #1 to Day#21 and don't forget to let me know what you think about it. And yes, do share it. 

Thoughts are like a ship with the sails up. You still need the winds to take it forward...




Thursday 16 April 2020

Back to your classes; It’s lesson time! - Day #21 (14 April 2020) 21 day #Covid19 Lock down

Day #21 ( 14 April 2020)

Back to your classes; It’s lesson time!


The bell rang. Our school is like a noisy market. The kids are all scrambling back to the classes. It’s a small school, of a few hundred in various age groups. The Headmistress’s announcement suddenly comes, through the speaker, and quietens the corridors, “Good morning, students! Welcome back to the school. We will not begin our regular classes today. I am requesting all of you, irrespective of your class and age to assemble in the Lessons Hall, which is room No. 21, by 10.00 am sharp.” The speaker crackles and switches off.

The Hall is bustling with a hundred voices. Most of the us have assembled; many could still not make it after the lock down. The kids look at each other, speak in hushed voices. Many are looking at the empty chairs; some of the friends have gone, taken by the disease; some are still ill, recovering; some are in various stages of quarantine; some couldn’t make it, their families have moved out into nobody knows where! Those who could make it, the fortunate ones, are here, to tell the story, and present their lessons!

The headmistress and the teachers parade in. The headmistress walks up to the mike, “Dear children, Good morning!” “Good morning,” a chorus replies. “We are assembled here to mark our deep condolences to those, who have been taken away by the pandemic. We will pray, that they Rest in Peace! We are here to also pray for those who are still ill and fighting the virus. Let us pray, in silence!” There is Silence.

In the same sober tone, the headmistress, “Now, you remember I had asked all of you to think and tell us, what is that most important lesson that this pandemic taught us. As we have so many of you here, I would request that you keep it short, and not repeat, if somebody has already stated the same. Agreed?” The kids nod!

Ishan, the youngest, in Class 8, raises his hands. The headmistress signals him to go ahead. Ishan pulls out a piece of paper and reads “Friends, a belief which I used to hold was that all sayings of great people were always true. Though it is most of the time, it's not the case this time. Abraham Lincoln's saying, 'A house divided on itself cannot stand' has turned out the opposite for us! United we spread the virus, divided we slow it down!”

He continued, “Another thing I have felt is that no matter how deadly, how fast, how stealthy the virus is, it is impossible to ignore the fact that the Earth is getting a cleansing session. Factories and vehicles have come to a still. Places which were once hazed with smoke are now clear, blue-skied habitats for animals of all kinds! It has been nearly a century since anything like this happened. Over a million cases have been registered with a grim death toll. Yet, that is not enough to silence the human spirit. All over the world, people are reflecting. The balcony has now become the most important place of our homes. We sing, we laugh, we fight, we giggle - all from our balconies. This room is now our door to the outside world. Even such a grim weight on our species has not stopped the one thing that a human should be capable of - laughing. And I think that symbolises us. Ourselves. We.”

These words coming from the youngest among us, rippled through the class. For a moment the headmistress stood still, then with a smile, “Thank you, Ishan. That was a great beginning. Very nice, very hopeful. Now, can we hear the others.”

Robin, an entrepreneur, spoke, short and crisp, “Health is wealth" - Wise man did tell us, but we ignored.” Subish added “Lock down is nothing but a rejuvenation period of Mother Nature. The world needs to slow down if we want homo sapiens to strive further. This period is a planning period for examining our progress, to add sustainability to it for guaranteeing a beautiful Earth to our future generations. And make them learn to live in harmony with nature.” Amanjot, a strong girl, high pitched, has an idea, “My mother told me people are saying why govt is not doing this lock down once in a year. They are facing difficulties in villages, but still feel its good for nature.” Rekha agrees, “Learning to enjoy life in its relaxed pace. The world can consider a lock down and relax once in a while. It revives the whole nature.” Peethambaran, a quiet one, ever seen playing with a camera, jumped in impulsively, “Mother nature is above everything.” Saying that, he sat down. Usha, a horticulturist, nodded in approval. After all, an idea she had shared – A month of lock down every year, for the Earth - seems to be catching up. Anjana, working with an Insurance company, could not hold herself back, “I have started hearing the old birds songs around me. My confusion is whether those old birds have come back or whether I am having time to hear these birds. The lock down has surely brought us closer to nature.” Everybody seemed to agree.

Abhijith, the Start-up engineer got up, “We all know the Fibonacci retracement,” and turned around, to see some staring clueless faces, but he continued, “everything has a peak point, once it has reached that point it will need to come down.” Ganesh, engineer-philosopher, agreed, “That a microscopic bug can take the entire power of human race or mighty nations down. This is just a first shot, there’s more where it came from, so behave.” and then in a deep voice that reverberated through the hall he recited,

yadha yadha hi dharmasya
glanir bhavati bharatha
abhyuthanaam adharmasya
tadhathmanam srjamyaham”

The Hall for a moment went silent, as if they heard a prayer. The Headmaster said, “We have heard the nature lovers, i suppose, now can we hear the others?”

The angry Anupam, an elder in the class, an agriculture scientist, got up, “This unprecedented situation has been created due to some psychopaths having tendency to earn money and change the economic system, destroy poor peoples' earning livelihood, they don't bother country and people, they need money and this is their motto, a perverted enjoyment even if the entire world is going to be destroyed. Its just like science fiction, it is becoming a reality. Despite warning, how these perverted leaders are destroying the nature in the name of so called development - burning the forest, releasing glyphosate through the aircrafts, destroying forests, increasing vehicles, using thermal and nuclear power plants, introducing GM crops and compulsory vaccination and what not.” He stopped and caught his breath. Mohanjit quickly quipped, “Fear is the ultimate tool of slavery.” The good old Aleyamma, a retired social activist also had some more politics to add to this, “Geopolitics is changing. Think of the post Covid world and the world powers..Will the priority be new products and new ways of making money or more value to conserving nature, respecting it's rhythms and also value for life. Many people will be more self reflective and will learn to live a simple life and care for the future. Fear for the emerging economic crisis and lives of millions of poor.. Homelessness, jobless and hence more violence on women. The health of women who now undergo over work and it's burden as well as mental and physical violence. Some (men) may with vengeance enjoy what is denied during lock down like alcohol, tobacco products and food consumption”, and after a few seconds, she asked, “What will be the role of religion, rituals and so on?” The questions she raised seemed to numb the crowd. Usha, not very typical of her, vented our her anger, “Most men country heads have no respect for ordinary people. They make us play through creating fear. Wish more people understand this drama and help change the ways. Good women leadership can work wonders.” She was referring to those nations led by women heads, handling the crisis much better than those run by men.

Anila, a religious one now spoke, “There is scope for disciplining even the most arrogant one.” She spoke in bullet points. “Never take anyone or any time for granted. Patience is the greatest virtue. Do not depend on others to feed you or expect others to support you. God is still the ALL MIGHTY.”

Yamuna, a financial management expert, broke the spell, “If you lead a simple frugal life when you have everything, lock down has no effect on you. Life can go on.” Seema had something similar to say, “Be grateful for little joys, appreciate life more, do not take anything for granted.” Dipal kept it short, “Compassion, Enjoy nature, find yourself.” Susan gave her own experience, “You can survive without so many comforts that we are used to. We are doing cooking, cleaning etc without maids. In between I get time to do other things as well.” Nisha became restless. “The amenities and luxuries we enjoy are not actually unavoidable,” she said. Sasikumar then stood up and placed the framework, “Minimalism works, even essentials could be prioritised.” Everybody agreed.

Indranil, sitting very thoughtful now stood up, “History or time is an entity with its own vision and mission. As an individual, no one can influence that. Introspection seems the only way to connect with it.” and then came the words, “I feel time is bored, it wants to talk to someone and thus forcing isolation for everyone, a pre cursor for introspection.” Amit was moved, “Nothing is permanent?”

The headmistress looked around, “Those three young ones there, don’t you have anything to say?”
Rithu, who has just started her graduate studies said, “I am not too worried about me, I am sort of much better, but there are many who aren’t, that is worrying. Yes, it will be a different world for us”. Adithya, another engineer added, “Had this disease struck us, let’s say in the 17th century, we would have got caught more seriously, but two factors – technology and media of this century, has surely helped us tackle the crisis better than we ever would have. Let’s also recognise that, and be able to harness the best side of it, without compromising on nature.” Arvind, in his graduation was pragmatic, “This is the time to rediscover ourselves. We could go beyond our current capabilities to explore our skills and find new ones, which we could be good at. I have started writing.” The headmistress and the teachers smiled in approval.

The new age farmers and the doers became restless. Ananth now jumped up, “One lesson - self sufficiency is key. Those who can get their hands dirty can survive such crisis.” Joseph added, “We people living on farms can make it through, those in cities won’t have it that great.” As if in approval Ananth said, “True. High time people realised this.” But Shibesh, a long time activist living in the village came up with a reality, “Many rural households do not have the means to cope with this much no work condition.” Everybody seemed to agree to this.

The humanitarians then came in. Sankar, an engineer, spoke up, “Don’t take life for granted, and value everything small or big in life and feel grateful for it.” Baburaj looked unhappy, “Just think of our fellow beings at Jammu, Srinagar...where these lock downs, curfew, sec144 are routine by nature...every alternate days only 3 hours were permitted to natives to go out for buying essentials...i’m quoting during 2003-07 period, where i have been there and witnessed the hardships...now some other way we too are facing, fighting the invisible deadly virus.” He shivered. Arun, who is president of a large corporation, calmly said, “Be super kind to every human and animal and leave a good impression.”

Fine, but do we have any solutions for the future?”, asked the headmistress. Swarnalatha knew this was for her, “Pandemic or not, the imperative of social & economic equity, public health systems & environmental safeguards remain. The better the segregation in daily routine, the less the waste burden during epidemics.” That was a very important direction, the class felt. Reema, a doctor, then added, “To keep the rich safe, the poor are suffering.” Shiburaj then came up with a set of bullet point recommendations, “It’s time for a bold departure from the usual business. 1.Urban centres needs to be centralised. 2.Priority should not be given for economic growth 3.Primary objective should be sustainability and equity. 4. Natural resources needs to be used very carefully. 5.Investment on war, weapons, and power establishments should be minimum. 6. More investment on food security and health. 7. Redesign in globalisation with focus on localisation. 8. Scope for socialistic values as capitalism in the verge of collapse or at least in great crisis 9. Rebuilding and strengthening community”. He had done his list. Nobody disapproved.

Jishnu shared his observation, “The Government hospitals have done extremely well all across the country in leading the fight against Corona; yes, it's been a single focused attention.” and then he asked, “Would the same hospitals be able to maintain the focus, tomorrow, when it loses the political patronage and is rushed with a variety of problems? How does the hospitals remain the same efficient self, or why do they turn out to be perceived as inefficient?” He felt, “The society should've a responsibility to make them remain as the leaders.” Saira, a young architect and urban planner, living in Kerala, came in next, “Lets learn the lesson and start creating small scale industries to sustain our economy. Make in Kerala, consume in Kerala. We must learn to have foresight, not a quick fix or a jugaad mentality. Stop leaning on the old ideologies and create one which builds towards better futures, integrating technology and our youngsters.” Biju quickly came in now, “Lesson learnt is to adapt to changing times. How true and apt the sloka from Bhagavad Gita is - Change is the law of universe”.

Saju, a doctor, who is in the front line of the fight against the corona virus seemed upset with the discussion relating to the economy. He said, “It’s not time to think of economy. Now is the time to think of saving lives, forgetting economy.” The headmistress intervened, “Yes! We must acknowledge and be thankful to the front-line people who have braved the crisis and are still struggling to keep us all safe. Yes, the economy can wait, lives matter the most!”

The sagacious Narasimha jumped in, as always, “To be independent and dependent for your needs”. Atleast a few of us looked at him, trying to see through his words.

Sitting silently all through was Aswathi, a journalist, “The most important realisation to me is that we are all human, simply human and nothing else, nothing including caste, religion, gods, rituals. None of these mattered. I am a deep believer and I go to the temple, but ultimately, in front of the crisis, it only mattered that we are all human. I have also understood that we have to live within the boundaries set by nature, and I have understood that we must learn how to produce our own food, to farm, however little, with our own hands.” There was an all round applause.

It was time to end this class. The headmistress stood up, for one last time, “Dear students! This was an enlightening day. Many of you have spoken. Some couldn’t. Many did not want to. But that is all fine. Sometimes, I feel, as a teacher, as a mother, I need to grow up...all of you stunned me. Thank you! The class is dispersed. You can all now go back home. And remember, home is not those four walls. As most of you were telling us, Home is our Earth! Thank you, once again!”

Author’s Afterword : As you would have understood, the class room setting, the headmistress and the teachers were all virtual, and part of an effort to weave in the responses. The students, including their names (I have only used first names) and the responses were real to the word and I am thankful to all who responded to the question in various social media, and over the phone. I end the 21-day lock down Covid19 series with this blog. Sorry for this longer one; I did not expect such an overwhelming response to the lesson question. Thank you.

Tuesday 14 April 2020

The post-Covid world needs a New Economy!- Day #20 (13 April 2020) 21 day #Covid19 Lock down

Day #20 (13 April 2020)


The post-Covid world needs a New Economy!



where is the rich society that says: ‘Halt! We have enough’?”
― Ernst F. Schumacher,
Small Is Beautiful: A Study of Economics as if People Mattered



A Virus has crashed the economy of the world! Even the last global financial crisis of 2008 would be an ant before this elephant of a crash. The many orthodoxies of the global economic order is out of the window, probably for ever. The learned economists are going back to the books. But the books are as old as the Jules Verne classic Around the World in Eighty Days, where the protagonist Phileas Fogg, when challenged with the possibility of a single accident causing delay and hence the loss of his bet of travelling the world in eighty days, says, “The unforeseen does not exist”. Those days of certainty or as Fogg himself says, “I will jump – mathematically” is finished or probably was just fiction.

Governments and Corporations are no longer perturbed by the weight of public debts nor about budget deficits. They are spending on an unforeseen crisis. Every nation has broken the regulations that maintain a healthy economy and spending, to pay large populations of workers, casual employees, households, businesses and markets, money worth trillions of dollars to help them tide over the crisis. US, Canada, India...are all forced to do this. Large amounts are also being spent on subsidies and even free supplies to affected people - poverty-stricken families, unorganised workers and migrant labourers to keep them running their homes. Corporations are no more looking at their growth lines and are paying their employees to stay safe at home, and sometimes even cutting down salaries of senior management to do this. The true-blue economist has also been, theoretically speaking, quarantined!

Can there be a rebound? Economists have different opinions on the route the global recession is taking, but is certain that the world will go into a deeper economic crisis, as days go by. They are even predicting a depression. This is because even with a high level of economic stimulus, the market with it’s unprecedented crash down, will not be able to gain the confidence to help a rebound. The investments into it will, nevertheless, have to keep going. It is a pandemic, and make no mistake, it demands immediate, assertive response.

I believe the virus attack episode will be remembered in history for the collapse of the economy, more than the number of people that it infected or killed. It will also be remembered for the great act of humanity, to give up on the health of the economy so as to protect the lives of the people.

But there is something sinister to the current economic model, we seem to be so obsessed with, that many nations even waited to take decisive action in fear of hurting it. This economic model thrives on extraction, production, consumption, denudation, pollution, contamination and eventually even extinction or the collapse. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the measuring stick for the health of an economy is singularly based on the value of production, and every nation strives for it’s exponential growth, notwithstanding it’s impacts on human life and ecological sustainability .

But Covid19 turned out to be an eye-opener. I always thought the climate change would do the job. Covid outsmarted it. It told us what a crisis of the future looks like. Covid was like a 2-minute eerie trailor of what is to come. It attempts to tell us, emphatically, that we have crossed the planetary boundaries. It attempts to tell us that handling a crisis such as this will be beyond the capacity of present human societal systems – our governments, our economic models, our political organising.

Two important reports need to be brought back to light here. One of them is the 1972 report - Limits to Growth by Donella Meadows, Dennis Meadows, and Jørgen Randers. The second book by the same authors is the 1992 report – Beyond the Limits to Growth. Why I bring these two reports into discussion here is to tell that these reports were much ahead of their time. For instance, the Limits to Growth alerted the world to the limits of the present economic model and recommended that in 1972 if the growth trends could be altered, we could achieve sustainable ecological and economic stability. Both the books were highly influential ones, and got caught into a number of controversies for obvious reasons. Since then, we have had innumerable scientists and authors alerting and warning us of the “Limits” story and later on the “Collapse” story in various ways. The fact is we did not have enough economists, bureaucrats or politicians who could be bothered about it.

Now, it’s time. It is crisis, one after the other. The Climate crisis manifests itself every year in hundreds of places across the world - destroying property, killing people and wiping out livelihoods. Human activities are denuding ecosystems, forests and depleting natural resources at a pace that nature cannot replenish. Deforestation and habitat manipulations are causing biodiversity loss, species collapse and even pandemics like the SARS, MERS, Ebola, Nipha and so on.

The Covid crisis has shown that even a balance between ecology and economy as proposed in the Limits to Growth is probably no more possible. Soon as the health crisis is over, nations will go back to repairing their economies in the only way they seem to know, guided by fossilised economists and financial experts.

So, does the future have a better deal? I believe, yes. I don’t think we would have a choice.

Atleast some proposals for a total re-look at the economy is in circulation in some countries and regions. The Green New Deal a package proposed by a few progressive representatives of the US Congress attempts to tackle the twin crisis of inequality and climate change in the US. Though the resolution was defeated in the Senate, it has wide public support and is expected to come back to limelight in the wake of the Covid crisis. Another promising policy draft with a much more potential is the European Green Deal, which is a road-map for making EU’s economy sustainable. It talks about moving to a clean, circular economy, restoring biodiversity, cutting pollution, de-carbonising the energy sector and many more.

It’s also interesting to note that many smaller but significant efforts are being taken all over the world, by various states, cities, villages and even communities to move towards a carbon-neutral or a climate-resilient one. One instance, which I am closely aware of is the Carbon Neutral Villages project of the Government of Kerala which is technically supported by Thanal, the organisation I have an association with.

Another fall out of the Covid19 crisis with a positive turn is the decision by the Dutch Government to embrace the very interesting “Doughnut Economics” model for Amsterdam. This model, developed by British economist Kate Raworth from Oxford University’s Environmental Change Institute was described in detail in her book Doughnut Economics: Seven ways to Think Like a 21st-Century Economist. This model proposes a visual framework for sustainable development – shaped like a doughnut or an uzhunnuvada ( for us!) – combining the concept of planetary boundaries with the complementary concept of social boundaries. I would encourage you to read more about this.

While these are good efforts, I would believe that in a post-Covid world, the new economic proposal should be founded on a deep respect towards nature and a deep commitment to the public good. The fine print would have to address phasing out of fossil fuels, adopting renewable efficient energy technologies and systems, phasing out industrial agriculture, adopting a more regenerative, community and agro-ecology based food systems, eliminating non-renewable extractive, high carbon economic activities such as in constructions, other infrastructure, work culture etc and adopt green investments that fosters a regenerative low-carbon and circular economy.

But, above all this is my absolute faith in the young generation of people, especially the Millenials and the Generation-Z. These are the ones, in their teens and early-20’s. Many of them are already shaking up the present paradigm with their Friday For Futures and the XR protests. But, what is exciting is that many of them are also turning themselves to simplifying their needs and de-clutering their lives, some even becoming Minimalists. That too is something worth watching out for and encouraging. If the Covid and the lock down throws up more such minimalists, then I will gladly live for the change!


I certainly never feel discouraged. I can’t myself raise the winds that might blow us or this ship into a better world. But I can at least put up the sail so that when the winds comes, I can catch it”.”
― E.F. Schumacher